Wednesday, March 10, 2010

WSJ: 81% of voters say it's likely the plan will end up costing more than projected

Rasmussen and Schoen: Why Obama Can't Move the Health-Care Numbers

Schoen is a Democrat, originally a pollster for Bill Clinton.

Bottom line:

Why can't the president move the numbers? One reason may be that he keeps talking about details of the proposal while voters are looking at the issue in a broader context.

When the president responds that the plan is deficit neutral, he runs into a pair of basic problems. The first is that voters think reducing spending is more important than reducing the deficit. So a plan that is deficit neutral with a big spending hike is not going to be well received.

But the bigger problem is that people simply don't trust the official projections. People in Washington may live and die by the pronouncements of the Congressional Budget Office, but 81% of voters say it's likely the plan will end up costing more than projected. Only 10% say the official numbers are likely to be on target.

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